Fire Myths/Fire Realities

With most science, it takes a while for the latest research and observations to be published, and then be assimilated into the public consciousness. Typically new science does not entirely invalidate the old ideas, but provides new insights and nuances. I see that happening now with fire ecology and how fire issues are reported in the media.

One of the frequently repeated “truths” is that fires are more “destructive” than in the past due to fire suppression. By putting out fires, we are told, we have contributed to higher fuel loads in our woodlands that are the cause of the large blazes we seem to be experiencing around the West.

But like any scientific fact, the more we know, the more we realize how little we really understand. While fuels are important to any blaze, the latest research is suggesting that weather/climatic conditions, rather than fuels, drive large blazes. In other words, you can have all the fuel in the world, but if it’s not dry enough, you won’t get a large blaze.

On the other hand if you have severe drought, combined with low humidity and high winds, almost any fuel loading will burn and burn well. Despite all the rhetoric about “historic” fire seasons, including several years where more than 7-8 million acres burned, the total acreage burned today is actually quite low by historic standards. As recently as the 1930s Dust Bowl drought years, more than 39 million acres burned annually in the US. And long term research going back thousands of years suggests that the past 50-70 years may be real anomalies in terms of acreage burned as well as fire severity. It may be that the limited fire activity between the 1930s and 1990s was more a reflection of moister climate conditions than due to any effective fire suppression.

Indeed, most fires just go out on their own with or without fire suppression if the conditions for fire spread are not conducive. Nevertheless, we take credit for putting out the blazes that may well have gone out without any intervention at all. At a recent fire forum I attended, a forest supervisor admitted as much when he quipped that his agency was “very good at putting out fires in wet years, but not very good at putting out fires in dry ones.” He was acknowledging how weather/climate controls fire activity and the success or failure of agency fire suppression efforts.

There undoubtedly has been some fuel build up in a few ecosystems due to fire suppression, particularly low elevation forests such as those dominated by ponderosa pine that burned at frequent intervals. However, most of the acreage burned in recent years has been either range fires influenced largely by the presence of the exotic and highly flammable cheat grass and/or higher elevation plant communities dominated by lodgepole pine, and various fir species, which typically did not burn frequently. Stand replacement fires characterize these higher elevation forest communities. These forests types have suffered no fuel build up due to fire suppression because successful fire control hasn’t exist long enough to have affected the interval between blazes that typically dominates these forests.

What is missed in the “fire suppression” has created fuel buildups assertion is the fact that mixed to high severity stand replacement blazes are the “norm” for most western ecosystem. This includes chaparral, aspen, spruce-fir, western larch, boreal forests in Alaska, lodgepole pine, subalpine fir, and many other forest types For instance, the lodge pole pine forest of Yellowstone NP typically burns every 300-400 years. Fire suppression has had no impact on fuel loading in these forests.

New research is even beginning to question the common assertion that low elevation forests dominated by ponderosa pine have all been affected by fire suppression. Researchers are finding more and more evidence for the occurrence of stand replacement blazes even in these forests—long before fire suppression could have had any influence on fuel buildup. In fact, it may be that all forest and plant communities will burn and burn well if we have the right conditions of wind, hot temperatures, and drought. The fact that recent fires are burning through clear cuts, thinned stands, and other forests that are supposed to be fire proofed, suggests that big blazes are, at least in some situations, the norm.

This has huge policy implications, especially in light of global warming. We are now entering a period of warmer, dryer conditions that creates conditions favorable to large uncontrollable fires. Public agencies like the Forest Service will increasingly find that like the forest supervisor admitted, they are not good at putting out fires in dry years.

Furthermore, presumed “solutions” put forth by logging advocates such as thinning programs are unlikely to work effectively in drought years. And since nearly all big blazes occur in drought years, these are the only fires that are worth worrying about.

Beyond the fact that we probably cannot control large blazes, it is likely a bad idea to try. In terms of ecosystem processes, big blazes are needed—for the majority of ecosystem work done by fire annually is the result of less than one percent of all blazes. Despite tens of thousands of fire starts in a typical summer, the majority of all acreage burned is the result of no more than a few dozen fires.

We need to embrace large blazes and learn to live with them. Fire in the forest is not bad. Fire in our communities is. The real solution to the West’s fire woes is to reduce the fire risk of our communities through mandatory building codes designed to reduce the flammability of individual homes, and zoning that restricts sprawl in fire prone landscapes so that the inevitable large blazes can sweep across the land with a minimum of harm to humans.





  1. Nathan Hobbs Avatar
    Nathan Hobbs

    Hi George great article,

    One has to question with all the changes our climate is experiencing what natural ecosystems will replace burned out areas with. I would imagine that some if not many areas that experience fire in the future will have a entire different composition of plants that take root compared to what was the historic norm.

    With climate changes altering the dynamics of local plant species will fire be the major usher in the redrawn boundaries of a changing ecosystem?

  2. Ralph Maughan Avatar
    Ralph Maughan


    I think that with the Ponderosa Pine ecosystems the major culprit has often been livestock grazing which weakened or destroyed the perennial grasses under the big Ponderosa. Before euro-Americans and their cattle and sheep these grasses were only lightly grazed by deer and elk.

    Lack of grass reduced the effectiveness of the fairly frequent ground fires that had kept the number of much more flammable species in check and kept their height low. Lack of grass also facilitated the successful germination of non-ponderosa trees.

    Of course, in many cases low elevation ponderosa were simply logged and carried away, usually resulting in forest conversion to another type of forest and to non-forest.

  3. Chris Hass Avatar
    Chris Hass

    Great article, George. I think we need to start thinking in terms of 500+ year cycles, rather than trying to reset everything to some arbitrary point in time, such as when Europeans first arrived in an area. However, as you mentioned, the presence of exotics is redefining the picture and changing any baseline. We can’t control fire, we might as well protect our structures and let it burn. A warming climate is going to change the ecosystems as we know them; fighting the fires just delays the inevitable.

  4. Barb Rupers Avatar
    Barb Rupers

    Good points, all.

    We have for several years been planting trees which will hopefully be more suitable to a hotter and dryer climate: Willamette Valley yellow pine, Arizona and Macnab cypress, grey pine, madrone, and incense cedar.

  5. Dan Avatar

    There is one commonality to all “big blazes,” and all blazes in general, it’s called low relative humidity. One of the greatest blazes this country has ever seen, the great fire of 1910, started with a wetter spring and early summer. The vegetation grew vigorously and then a dry hot spell set in. The RH was next to nothing and the many fires that were burning from the railroad, lightening strikes and settlers blew up into a fire storm when a two day summer storm past through.
    Fire is like most things in the hard sciences. It is predictable given certain variables. You give a fire a low RH it will consume. Raise the RH and it dies back down.
    I believe that wood is one of our greatest resources. It’s easy to build with and it requires little energy to make into usable building products. I think we ought to protect stands of timber that will make useful building products. The way we protect these stands is create buffers around them. Although “big blazes” may try to cross these buffers, it gives us a fighting chance to protect a very valuable resource.
    I agree with George that lodgepole pine, sub alpine fir, mountain hemlock, subalpine larch and a few other species found at low site index areas such as wind swept ridges and and the high country should be off limits to harvest and be allowed to burn, but I completely disagree that douglas fir, western larch, ponderosa pine, grand fir and western hemlock should be allowed to be consumed by fire.

    1. Nancy Avatar

      “I believe that wood is one of our greatest resources. It’s easy to build with and it requires little energy to make into usable building products. I think we ought to protect stands of timber that will make useful building products. The way we protect these stands is create buffers around them. Although “big blazes” may try to cross these buffers, it gives us a fighting chance to protect a very valuable resource”

      Dan – how bout “we” (the human species) spend more time trying to figure out real ways to recycle all our waste from that great resource – wood – instead of designing new ways to tear down forests and “buffer” for the future, in areas where other species can no longer afford the loss of habitat 🙂

      1. Dan Avatar


        Wood science is leading the way to utilize more wood fiber than ever before. And, waste streams are commonly becoming material streams.

        I think if you took the time to look into today’s wood products you would realize that what you’ve written is reality, we do reduce, reuse and recycle.


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George Wuerthner